Expect the expected for tomorrow’s Oscar nominations

Omar Moore
3 min readJan 23, 2023

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Likely little suspense in Tuesday’s morning’s nominations announcement

FILM
By Omar Moore
January 23, 2023

This time tomorrow we will know the films, filmmakers and actors making the Academy Of Motion Picture Arts And Science’s list of Oscar nominees.

Expect little surprise in Tuesday’s nominations (which will be unveiled beginning at 5:30 am Pacific US/8:30 am Eastern US.)

Here are my predictions of some of the names you will hear read out tomorrow. (Note: This is not a complete or exhaustive list.)

Second note: After the nominations, edits will be made to this story to indicate how accurate (or not) these predictions were. The edits/corrections are in bold italics.

BEST PICTURE

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER
BABYLON — ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
THE FABELMANS
TAR
TILL — ELVIS
TOP GUN: MAVERICK
THE WOMAN KINGTRIANGLE OF SADNESS
WOMEN TALKING

BEST ACTRESS

Cate Blanchett, TAR
Viola Davis, THE WOMAN KING -Ana de Armas, BLONDE
Danielle Deadwyler, TILL-Andrea Riseborough, TO LESLIE
Michelle Williams, THE FABELMANS
Michelle Yeoh, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

BEST ACTOR

Austin Butler, ELVIS
Colin Farrell, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
Brendan Fraser, THE WHALE
Gabriel LaBelle, THE FABELMANS — Paul Mescal, AFTER SUN
Bill Nighy, LIVING

BEST SUPPORTING ACTRESS

Angela Bassett, BLACK PANTHER: WAKANDA FOREVER
Hong Chau, THE WHALE
Kerry Condon, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
Nina Hoss, TAR — Jamie Lee Curtis, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
Janelle Monae, GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY — Stephanie Hsu, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE

Six solid gold statuettes of men standing upright. These are Oscar statuettes.
Oscar is waiting. (Photo: DenOfGeek.com)

BEST SUPPORTING ACTOR

Paul Dano, THE FABELMANS — Brian Tyree Henry, CAUSEWAY
Brendan Gleeson, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
Ke Huy Quan, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
Barry Keoghan, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
Ben Whishaw, WOMEN TALKING — Judd Hirsch, THE FABELMANS

BEST CINEMATOGRAPHY

AVATAR: THE WAY OF WATER — ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT
THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN — BARDO: FALSE CHRONICLE OF A HANDFUL OF TRUTHS
THE BATMAN — ELVIS
THE FABELMANS — EMPIRE OF LIGHT
TAR

BEST DIRECTOR

Todd Field, TAR
Joseph Kosinski, TOP GUN: MAVERICK — Martin McDonagh, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
Gina Prince-Bythewood, THE WOMAN KING — Ruben Ostlund, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
Steven Spielberg, THE FABELMANS

BEST ADAPTED SCREENPLAY

Rian Johnson, GLASS ONION: A KNIVES OUT MYSTERY
Ehren Kruger and Eric Warren Singer and Christopher McQuarrie, TOP GUN: MAVERICK
Sarah Polley, WOMEN TALKING
(Additional two nominees: ALL QUIET ON THE WESTERN FRONT; LIVING)

BEST ORIGINAL SCREENPLAY

Damien Chazelle, BABYLON — Ruben Ostlund, TRIANGLE OF SADNESS
Todd Field, TAR
Tony Kushner & Steven Spielberg, THE FABELMANS
Daniel Kwan & Daniel Scheinert, EVERYTHING EVERYWHERE ALL AT ONCE
Martin McDonagh, THE BANSHEES OF INISHERIN

Omar’s new film podcast: TAR Talk — for anyone who can’t get enough of the film TAR, directed by Todd Field and starring Cate Blanchett (available on Anchor and numerous podcasting platforms)

Omar Moore’s other movie podcast is The Popcorn Reel — on Apple, Stitcher and other platforms.

On YouTube: youtube.com/@popcornreel

On Twitter: @thepopcornreel

On Fanbase: @popcornreel

On Mastodon: @popcornreel

On Post: @popcornreel

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